Reliance net debt continues to rise from YoY perspective despite capex declining sharply QoQ: Probal Sen

Reliance Q3 numbers were fairly strong with performance in several segments offsetting weakness in the gas exploration and O2C segments. Net debt continues to rise despite declining capex. Retail showed a 23% YoY growth in revenue and a 30% improvement in EBITDA, but return ratios remain below 10% due to increased capital allocation. Optimism remains for Jio's ARPUs with traction expected from enterprise and fiber to home business, 5G investments, and tariff monetization. Stock price outlook is neutral with a fair price of Rs 2600-2700.

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