12% exports growth by 2030 more realistic expectation for India: Barclays
India's exports are expected to grow by around 12%, resulting in a global export share of around 4% by 2030, or $1.6 trillion. However, weak global growth in the medium term, further supply chain fractures, and rising protectionism could challenge the strategy. India has been a key beneficiary of the "China+1" strategy, with the tech-intensity of exports gradually increasing.
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