Inflation lowers, but don't lower guard

RBI cannot relax its vigil, however. Headline inflation is elevated on a high base. Food inflation pulled down the CPI in March, declining to 4.79% from 5.95% in February. Seasonality of vegetable prices is making retail inflation volatile as cereal prices remain firm. Opec+ - which is the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia - has announced crude oil production cuts that could be an overreaction to the global slowdown.

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